The SARS-CoV-2 Omicron (B.1.1.529 lineage) - Timeline

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Do the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron (B.1.1.529 lineage) detected in South Africa which contains 11 mutations in the receptor binding domain of the spike protein is the most worrying we’ve seen?

The first question is whether the variant is more transmissible than the current, prevalent Delta strain.

Second will it render our immune defenses — from vaccines and prior infections — less effective (a phenomenon known as immune escape)?

7 Dec 2021 / 22:45 CET  Filip Fratev / Micar Innovation (Micar21)

Micar21 publish scientific publication in bioRxiv - Omicron - version 1

The High Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron (B.1.1.529) Variant is Not Only Due to Its hACE2 binding: A Free Energy of Perturbation Study

https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.12.04.471246v1

Abstract

The mutations in the spike protein of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant (B.1.1.529 lineage) gave rise to questions, but the data on the mechanism of action at the molecular level is limited. In this study, we present the Free energy of perturbation (FEP) data about the RBD-hACE2 binding of this new variant.

We identified two groups of mutations located close to the most contributing substitutions Q498R and Q493R, which altered significantly the RBD-hACE2 interactions. The Q498R, Y505H and G496S mutations, in addition to N501Y, highly increased the binding to hACE2. They enhanced the binding by 98, 14 and 13 folds, respectively, which transforms the S1-RBD to a picomolar binder. However, in contrast to the case in mice the Q493R/K mutations, in a combination with K417N and T478K, dramatically reduced the S1 RBD binding by over 100 folds. The N440K, G446S and T478K substitutions had lesser contribution. Thus, the total effect of these nine mutations located on the interaction surface of RBD-hACE2 turns out to be similar to that observed in the Alpha variant. In a special circumstances it could be further altered by the E484A and S477N mutations and even lower binding capacity is likely to be detected. Finally, we provide a structural basis of the observed changes in the interactions.

These data may explain only partially the observed in South Africa extremely high Omicron spread and is in support to the hypothesis for multiple mechanisms of actions involved in the transmission.

Introduction

On November 26, 2021, WHO identified the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant (B.1.1.529 lineage) as a variant of concern (VOC), based on evidence that it contains numerous mutations that may influence its behavior [1]. However, the mode of transmission and severity of the Omicron variant remains unknown. The B.1.1.529 lineage has a total number of 11 amino acid mutations in its receptor binding domain (RBD): K417N, N440K, G446S, S477N, T478K, E484A, Q493R, G496S, Q498R, N501Y and Y505H [2]. These mutations have been discovered in samples collected in Botswana on November 11, 2021 and South Africa on November 14, 2021. As of 3 December and since 2 December 2021, 30 additional SARS-CoV-2 Omicron VOC cases have been confirmed in the European Union (EU). Countries and territories outside the EU have reported 377 confirmed cases. Globally there were 486 confirmed cases reported by 35 countries. It is uncertain if the Omicron variant is more transmissible or severe than the Delta variant. However, this is the most divergent strain detected so far during the pandemic raising concerns and several countries have already closed their borders due to the possible risk. The mutations in the spike protein of Omicron gave rise to questions, but the data on the mechanism of action at the molecular is level is limited.

In the end of December 2020 we provided urgently high quality data about the effect of the N501Y and K417N mutations, detected in Alpha and Beta variants, to the RBD-hACE2 binding by the Free energy of binding (FEP) approach [3]. The results have been later confirmed by the experimental studies [4-7]. Further, we performed a similar study also for the R346K mutation found in the Mu SARS-CoV-2 variant, which affected monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) from class 2 [8]. In the current study we used the same technique to assay the binding of the Omicron’s S1 RBD to hACE2 and to provide at a molecular level a detail description of the RBD-hACE2 interactions. The FEP method is one of the most successful and precise in silico techniques for protein-protein interactions predictions [9]. It outperforms significantly the traditional molecular dynamics based methodologies, such as for example MM/GBSA and empirical solutions like FoldX. It also often precisely predicts the free energy differences between the mutations [10-12] and has a more than 90% success in the prediction whether one mutation will have either a negative or positive effect on the binding [9].

Link to BioRxiv Omicron

5 Dec 2021 / 4:39 CET  Filip Fratev / Micar Innovation (Micar21)

Micar21 sent scientific publication to bioRxiv - Omicron - version 1

The High Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron (B.1.1.529) Variant is Not Only Due to Its hACE2 binding: A Free Energy of Perturbation Study

Abstract

The mutations in the spike protein of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant (B.1.1.529 lineage) gave rise to questions, but the data on the mechanism of action at the molecular level is limited. In this study, we present the Free energy of perturbation (FEP) data about the RBD-hACE2 binding of this new variant.

We identified two groups of mutations located close to the most contributing substitutions Q498R and Q493R, which altered significantly the RBD-hACE2 interactions. The Q498R, Y505H and G496S mutations, in addition to N501Y, highly increased the binding to hACE2. They enhanced the binding by 98, 14 and 13 folds, respectively, which transforms the S1-RBD to a picomolar binder. However, in contrast to the case in mice the Q493R/K mutations, in a combination with K417N and T478K, dramatically reduced the S1 RBD binding by over 100 folds. The N440K, G446S and T478K substitutions had lesser contribution. Thus, the total effect of these nine mutations located on the interaction surface of RBD-hACE2 turns out to be similar to that observed in the Alpha variant. In a special circumstances it could be further altered by the E484A and S477N mutations and even lower binding capacity is likely to be detected. Finally, we provide a structural basis of the observed changes in the interactions.

These data may explain only partially the observed in South Africa extremely high Omicron spread and is in support to the hypothesis for multiple mechanisms of actions involved in the transmission.

Introduction

On November 26, 2021, WHO identified the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant (B.1.1.529 lineage) as a variant of concern (VOC), based on evidence that it contains numerous mutations that may influence its behavior [1]. However, the mode of transmission and severity of the Omicron variant remains unknown. The B.1.1.529 lineage has a total number of 11 amino acid mutations in its receptor binding domain (RBD): K417N, N440K, G446S, S477N, T478K, E484A, Q493R, G496S, Q498R, N501Y and Y505H [2]. These mutations have been discovered in samples collected in Botswana on November 11, 2021 and South Africa on November 14, 2021. As of 3 December and since 2 December 2021, 30 additional SARS-CoV-2 Omicron VOC cases have been confirmed in the European Union (EU). Countries and territories outside the EU have reported 377 confirmed cases. Globally there were 486 confirmed cases reported by 35 countries. It is uncertain if the Omicron variant is more transmissible or severe than the Delta variant. However, this is the most divergent strain detected so far during the pandemic raising concerns and several countries have already closed their borders due to the possible risk. The mutations in the spike protein of Omicron gave rise to questions, but the data on the mechanism of action at the molecular is level is limited.

In the end of December 2020 we provided urgently high quality data about the effect of the N501Y and K417N mutations, detected in Alpha and Beta variants, to the RBD-hACE2 binding by the Free energy of binding (FEP) approach [3]. The results have been later confirmed by the experimental studies [4-7]. Further, we performed a similar study also for the R346K mutation found in the Mu SARS-CoV-2 variant, which affected monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) from class 2 [8]. In the current study we used the same technique to assay the binding of the Omicron’s S1 RBD to hACE2 and to provide at a molecular level a detail description of the RBD-hACE2 interactions. The FEP method is one of the most successful and precise in silico techniques for protein-protein interactions predictions [9]. It outperforms significantly the traditional molecular dynamics based methodologies, such as for example MM/GBSA and empirical solutions like FoldX. It also often precisely predicts the free energy differences between the mutations [10-12] and has a more than 90% success in the prediction whether one mutation will have either a negative or positive effect on the binding [9].

Download Omicron full Version 1 (PDF)

https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:6873183408843984896/

2 Dec 2021 / 1:14 CET  Filip Fratev / Micar Innovation (Micar21)

The High Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron (B.1.1.529 lineage) Variant is Not Due Only to the ACE2 binding: A Free Energy of Perturbation Study

Abstract

The mutations in the spike protein of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant (B.1.1.529 lineage) gave rise to questions, but the data on the mechanism of action at the molecular level is limited. In this study, we present the Free energy of perturbation (FEP) data about the RBD-hACE2 binding of this new variant.

We identified two groups of mutations located close to the most contributing substitutions Q498R and Q493R, which altered significantly the RBD-hACE2 interactions. The Q498R, Y505H, G496S mutations, in addition to N501Y, highly increased the binding to hACE2. They enhanced the binding by 98, 14 and 13 folds, respectively, which transforms the S1-RBD to a picomolar binder. However, in contrast to the case in mice the Q493R/K mutations, in a combination with K417N and T478K, dramatically reduced the S1 RBD binding by over 100 folds. Thus, the total effect of all these nine mutations located on the interaction surface of RBD-hACE2 turns out to be similar to that observed in the Alpha variant. It could be further specifically altered by the E484A mutation and even a similar to the wild type binding may also be detected. We provide a structural basis of the observed changes.

These data may explain only partially the observed in South Africa extremely high Omicron spread and is in support to the hypothesis for multiple mechanisms action involved in the transmission.

In the December 2020 we provided an accurate information about the interactions between receptor binding domain (RBD) of Alpha and Beta variants mutations and the human ACE2 by Free energy of perturbation (FEP) approach.

In this study, we present the results about the RBD-ACE2 binding in Omicron variant by the same approach.

https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:6872059742873899008/

30 Nov 2021 / 12:27 CET  Filip Fratev / Micar Innovation (Micar21)

It is curious that originally it was reported the Q493K mutation in B.1.1.529 lineage but now ECDC informs us that actually we have the Q493R one.

It is curious that originally it was reported the Q493K mutation in B.1.1.529 lineage but now ECDC informs us that actually we have the Q493R one. It is of critical importance to know that in order to finalize all results about the Omicron's RBD-ACE2 binding. The attached Figure shows the calculated ddG values using the Alpha variant structure and FEP.

https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:6871397419800641537/

29 Nov 2021 / 6:49 CET  Filip Fratev / Micar Innovation (Micar21)

We received the all FEP data for the Omicron’s RBD-ACE2 binding. It is clear now that the Q498R and Q493K are the main players in these interactions.

We received almost the all FEP data for the Omicron’s RBD-ACE2 binding. It is clear now that the Q498R and Q493K are the main players in these interactions. However, there is a competition between them leading to decrease of the total binding; i.e. similar to case of N501Y and K417N tandem of mutations in Beta variant. What is exactly this decrease we will know soon but the ddG of Q493K has a positive value. The transformation of not charged to charged residues in known to produce a significant bias in FEP calculations. This is valid indeed for both Q498R and Q493K. Thus, we developing a special protocol in order to describe these significant changes which are responsible for the RBD-ACE2 binding in Omicron. In addition, our results shown that the N440K and G446S have indeed a small effect to the RBD-ACE2 interactions and the ddG values were -0.2 and +0.21 kcal/mol; i.e. in frame of possible error. We expected the G446S in a combination with G498R and surrounding residues additionally may stabilize this constellation of harmful mutations and in particular Arg498 but this turn out to be not true (ddG=0.24).

https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:6870982318018854912/

28 Nov 2021 / 6:24 CET  Filip Fratev / Micar Innovation (Micar21)

Our preliminary FEP data showed that the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron’s (B.1.1.529 lineage) Q498R, Y505H and G496S mutations drastically increase the binding to ACE2, which is an indication of its transmission.

Our preliminary FEP data showed that the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron’s (B.1.1.529 lineage) Q498R, Y505H and G496S mutations drastically increase the binding to ACE2, which is an indication of its transmission. They enhanced the binding by 98, 14 and 13 times, respectively, which transforms the S1-RBD to a picomolar binder! Our estimations are based on the structures of both Alpha and Beta variants. The K417N and T478K had a relatively small negative effect to the binding: ddG=0.44 and +0.16 kacl/mol, respectively. Initially, we are calculating the contribution of the individual mutations to the RBD-ACE2 interactions and next we will do that for their total cumulative effect. Also, we expect an improvements of the results after the multi-site FEP calculations due to the cycle closure data. Currently, we observed a difference only for G496S which has a ddG= -0.82 and -0.23 kcal/mol in Alpha and Beta variants, most likely due to the not good convergence in Beta. We will improve that during the next hours and expect the data for Q493K. The latter and Glu484Ala and Lys417Asn can be described as an individual hot spot of mutations.

https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:6870177115547963392/

27 Nov 2021 / 3:08 CET  Filip Fratev / Micar Innovation (Micar21)

We plan to calculate the binding to ACE2 of all individual B.1.1.529 mutations and their total effect.

The new B.1.1.529 SARS-CoV-2 lineage (Omicron) looks really terrible with totally 7 mutations located at the RBD-ACE2 binding surface. To urgently provide a high quality data we are performing with Suman Sirimulla (UTEP) a Free energy of Perturbation (FEP) assessments of the impact of all mutations. The FEP method has been shown in our previous studies to be highly accurate for Alpha (1) and Mu (2) variants. We have already calculated that the G496S mutation lead to an additional increase in the RBD-ACE2 binding by 4 times in comparison to the presence of only N501Y mutation (Alpha variant). The latter mutation is included in our set up, thus we can conclude that G496S plus N501Y mutations result in a totally of 11 times increase of the RBD-ACE2 binding.

We plan to calculate the binding to ACE2 of all individual B.1.1.529 mutations and their total effect. Also, we will assay how these mutations will impact various antibody classes. We will keep you updated!

(1) N501Y and K417N Mutations in the Spike Protein of SARS-CoV-2 Alter the Interactions with Both hACE2 and Human-Derived Antibody: A Free Energy of Perturbation Retrospective Study - https://pubs.acs.org/doi/10.1021/acs.jcim.1c01242 The N501Y and K417N mutations in the spike protein of SARS-CoV-2 alter the interactions with both hACE2 and human derived antibody: A Free energy of perturbation study - https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.12.23.424283v2

(2) - The R346K Mutation in the Mu Variant of SARS-CoV-2 Alter the Interactions with Monoclonal Antibodies from Class 2: A Free Energy of Perturbation Study - https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.10.12.463781v1

https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn%3Ali%3Aactivity%3A6870177115547963392/

26 Nov 2021 / 18:00 CET  Filip Fratev / Micar Innovation (Micar21)

Do the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron (B.1.1.529 lineage) detected in South Africa which contains 11 mutations in the receptor binding domain of the spike protein is the most worrying we’ve seen?

Micar21 started today, 26 Nov 2021, precise FEP calculations to answer to this question.